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The fourth edition of the Production Gap Report shows that, despite 151 national governments having pledged to achieve net-zero emissions and projections suggesting that fossil fuel demand will peak this decade, countries will, in aggregate, produce more than double the amount of fossil fuels in 2030 than would be consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C.
Governments plan to produce around 110% more fossil fuels in 2030 than would be consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C, and 69% more than would be consistent with 2°C, according to the 2023 edition of the Production Gap Report, titled, “Phasing down or phasing up? Top fossil fuel producers plan even more extraction despite climate promises.”
When combined, government plans would lead to an increase in global coal production until 2030, and in global oil and gas production until at least 2050, creating an ever-widening fossil fuel production gap over time.
Governments plan to produce around 110% more fossil fuels in 2030 than would be consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C, and 69% more than would be consistent with 2°C. Illustration: SEI
The 2023 Production Gap Report provides newly expanded country profiles for 20 major fossil-fuel-producing countries: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Colombia, Germany, India, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Mexico, Nigeria, Norway, Qatar, the Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, and the United States of America. These profiles show that most of these governments continue to provide significant policy and financial support for fossil fuel production.
Past event / Watch a detailed review of the 2023 Production Gap Report findings by leading experts, recorded on 8 November 2023.
Initiative / The Carbon Lock-In Initiative seeks to uncover and address the barriers that uphold the fossil fuel-based economy.
Press release / New report published today: governments plan to produce around 110% more fossil fuels in 2030 than would be consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C
Past event / Watch a detailed review of the 2023 Production Gap Report findings by leading experts, recorded on 8 November 2023.
SEI report / Amid growing momentum to link fossil fuel production and climate goals, transparency on countries’ alignment with Paris goals is crucial to assessing progress.
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